Archive for the ‘Financial News’ Category

Dec
03

U.S. working on affordable mortgage plan

Posted under Financial News

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – The Treasury Department is developing a plan to try to reduce mortgage rates on home loans to 4.5 percent on a 30-year mortgage by making fresh investments in those assets, sources familiar with the plan said on Wednesday.

The plan would see mortgage finance companies Fannie Mae (FNM.N) and Freddie Mac (FRE.N) expand their buying of mortgage securities to help drive down borrowing costs, the sources said.

The move would be akin to one taken last week by the Federal Reserve when it promised to buy $600 billion in assets and debt from government-sponsored enterprises like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, one source said. The Fed’s announcement had an immediate impact on home loan rates which fell sharply.

The Treasury’s announcement could come as early as next week, the sources said.

Earlier this year, as part of the U.S. government’s bailout package for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, but before the approval of the Trouble Asset Relief Program (TARP), the U.S. Treasury said it would buy mortgage backed securities of Fannie and Freddie also.

(Reporting by John Poirier and Rachelle Younglai)

http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20081203/bs_nm/us_financial_mortgages_treasury

Oct
30

Seeing Through the Panic to Profits …

Posted under Financial News, Wealth Creation

Article written by Larry Edelson Money And Markets  10-30-08

First, some important news no one else is telling you: The Dow is now trading at the equivalent of the 2,500 level, down a whopping 77% from its high.

Yes, you read that right. In terms of “honest” money — gold — the Dow Jones Industrials has already lost 77% of its value! Now, how could that be, you ask.

Simple: It’s because the world no longer uses “honest” money and instead economies — and asset prices — float on variable currency exchange rates with nothing but “a promise to pay” backing them. So to really understand what’s happening to values — the nominal prices that you see in the markets whether they be for stocks, bonds or commodities — you must look at them in terms of the one asset that always holds its purchasing power: Gold. For instance …

In 1999, when the Dow hit its real inflation-adjusted peak of 11,210, it bought 44 ounces of real money, gold. Today, the Dow buys less than 10 ounces of gold.

That means the Dow now buys 34 ounces less gold, a purchasing power loss of 77%. That essentially means the Dow is already trading at the equivalent of 2,578. Now, you might argue, as others do, that it’s mostly because the price of gold has soared so much over the last eight years.

But that argument actually reinforces my point: Your money, even after the recent rally in the value of the greenback, is worth a whole lot less than it was a year ago, two years ago, five years ago, eight years ago, even ten years ago. And so on. This is a hard concept to understand at times, but it’s so important that you do. Why? Because only then will you know how to position your portfolio to profit in the months and
years ahead.

Savvy investors like Warren Buffet, Jimmy Rogers, Mark Mobius, and Barton Biggs understand it.

Indeed, just a few days ago, Warren Buffet wrote the following in The New York Times … “Today people who hold cash equivalents feel comfortable. They shouldn’t. They have opted for a terrible long-term asset, one that pays virtually nothing and is certain to depreciate in value.

Indeed, the policies that government will follow in its efforts to alleviate the current crisis will probably prove inflationary and therefore accelerate declines in the real value of cash accounts.”
He’s right.

Of course, Buffet has the capital and staying power to jump into the markets now and buy, whereas many investors don’t.

So for most of you, I think holding cash and gold right now are the best and safest investments for almost all your capital. Even so, that shouldn’t change your view or understanding of the world and what’s happening. And it certainly should not prevent you from preparing for some of the greatest buying opportunities of a lifetime in all types of assets.

To see how assets inflate over time, ask yourself the following questions … If you could go back to the depths of 1932 and buy stocks or commodities, would you? You bet you would. If you could roll back time to the severe 1973 — 1975 recession and buy stocks or gold, would you? You bet you would, especially gold, which soared from the $130 level to $850 by January 1980.

If you could buy stocks after the 1987 stock market crash, would you?

You bet you would!

If you could turn back the clock and buy stocks or commodities during the 1990 S&L crisis, would you?

You bet you would!

If you could go back to the Long-Term Capital Management and Asian currency crises of 1997 and 1998 and buy assets, even real estate, would you? You bet you would! If you could go back to the year 2000, or even 2001 post-9/11, and buy gold, other commodities, even real estate, would you? You bet you would!

The ONLY difference between the current crisis and past crises is, yes, that this one is larger and more severe in scope. But that doesn’t mean it will be resolved differently. Quite to the contrary, it will be
resolved the same way all past financial crises have been resolved, through inflating away
debt. Because no matter how you slice it, the historical record shows that without gold backing currencies, inflation is baked into the cake via monetary policy. Another market that’s quickly becoming a huge bargain: China
In fact, I see five major reasons why China continues to offer excellent long-term
potential … Reason #1: Contrary to popular opinion, China’s exports continue to grow! The talking heads in the media want you to believe that China’s exports are getting hammered. But that’s simply not true.
While exports to the U.S. are down 10% this year, all told China’s exports through September are up an astounding 21.5% over the same period last year. Where are all the exports going, if exports to the U.S. are declining? They’re going to Vietnam, Thailand, Indonesia, Malaysia, and more. In other words, China’s exports within Asia and Southeast Asia are up, big time. That’s a testament to rising consumption within Asia as much as it is to China from a purely export point of view.

And speaking of consumption … Reason #2: Retail sales are exploding higher. Retail sales over the Chinese New Year holiday jumped 16% over 2007 even while bad weather crippled the nation’s transport infrastructure during the holiday period. More recently, during its week-long national holiday between September 29 and October 5, China’s retail sales surged 21% year-on-year. That’s not all. In September alone retail sales soared 23% over last year — that’s close to the fastest pace in at least nine years!
What’s more, January through August retail sales volume in China rose 14.3% versus 12.9% for all of 2007, while the value of the retail sales rose to a 12-year high. And in the months ahead, retail sales and domestic consumption appear set to rise even more as Beijing cuts interest rates … slashes taxes … and lowers the downpayment requirement for first-time homebuyers from 30% to 20%. Also announced on October 22, a reduction in the property deed tax to 1% from 3%-5% for first-home buyers and for those who purchase properties smaller than 90 square meters … plus, a whopping 30% discount on mortgage interest rates!
That is sure to help propel retail sales growth in the months ahead.

Reason #3: Government Spending. Having nearly $2 trillion in its piggy-bank is a nice way to weather this global financial storm. It’s why growth in urban fixed-asset investment in China is 27.6% higher in the first nine months of this year from a year earlier. And it’s why up to $400 billion in new investment has been earmarked for rural China with a growth objective of doubling rural incomes of 750 million Chinese within the next three years.

Reason #4: Monetary policy is being relaxed. Inflation has cooled a bit in China, so monetary authorities are loosening up their grip, cutting interest rates and bank reserve requirements for the first time since 2002. And more cuts are in the offing. Reason #5: China’s stock market is trading at dirt-cheap price-to-earnings
ratios.

China’s market has been hammered hard and it’s now trading at almost unheard of levels, with P/E valuation multiples as low as 5 to 1. Cheap? You bet they are. Can they get cheaper? In this panic environment, of course they can.

So what does all this mean and what should you do? You have to see through the panic to the profits. Once-in-a-lifetime bargains are going to be popping up all over the world.
Stay tuned for my signals!
Best,
Larry

P.S. To position yourself for the once-in-a-lifetime profit opportunities I see coming,
subscribe to Real Wealth Report. For just $99 a year, get 12 monthly issues, all my
analysis and recommendations, flash alerts and more! It will be the best $99 you’ve ever

spent!

http://www.moneyandmarkets.com/seeing-through-the-panic-to-profits-27815

Oct
24

Dividend Superstars Crushing Other Income Investments

Posted under Financial News
A few months ago, right here in Money and Markets, I said utility stocks that boast steadily rising dividend payments are better income investments than bonds. And as the credit crisis unfolds, I believe that more than ever. In fact, I’d now go so far as to say that utility stocks — and other solid dividend payers — are better than most CDs and money market funds, too.

Sure, stocks carry plenty of risk. But that risk is known. What’s more, as I showed you last week, it’s easily counteracted with inverse ETFs. On the other hand, many so-called “safe” investments come with all kinds of hidden risks. Let’s start with one of the most blatant examples — the fact that America’s oldest money market fund recently told its investors,

“NO WITHDRAWALS.” That was the first time in history that a large money market fund was forced to freeze out its customers from their deposits. And what were investors getting for that unadvertised risk? An average annual return of 2.8%.

That’s not even enough to keep pace with rising costs for gasoline, health-care, food, and other daily necessities! Moreover, in a money market fund, your principal never grows. If you’re lucky, you will end up with exactly what you started with — that’s the best result you can hope for. And because of inflation, what you started with will buy you a lot less than it does today. You have the exact same problem with CDs and bonds. You take on risk, get low yields, and the value of the principal will get eaten away by inflation. Yes, I DO still suggest you keep a large chunk of your cash parked in Treasury-only money funds for liquidity, safety, and future investments. But when it comes to your income investments, money funds, bonds, and CDs give you zero growth in your nest egg … they add nothing to your retirement fund … your child’s college fund … or your “just let me enjoy life” fund. They’re a dead end precisely when you need an open highway.

In contrast …America’s Top Dividend Superstars Have Been Writing Rich, Steady Dividend Checks for Decades! A handful of companies have been paying out big, fat dividends through past crises, recessions, and two World Wars! And in today’s market, they can immediately double or triple the investment income you’d get from CDs, bonds, or money markets.

I’m talking about prosperous, conservative companies with solid dividend yields well
above 5%. Take Integrys Energy, for example, the old Peoples Gas & Light, which serves Chicago. It’s sending out big, fat dividend checks that add up to 5.3% annually.
To put that in perspective, that’s just about double what you’d get with a money market fund, CD or bond. And while bonds default, bank CDs fail, and now money market funds are starting to freeze up, Integrys has paid investors dividends for 68 consecutive years. It’s never missed a single payment.

In fact, it has increased its dividend checks in each of the last 50 years. That’s extraordinary! And it means Integrys investors are getting bigger and bigger dividend checks every single year.

Those small, steady dividend increases compound with amazing power. Someone who bought Integrys just ten years ago is now earning an effective dividend yield of 14.3%, about four times what you can get on a CD or Treasury bond today. That’s the power of investing in companies that steadily raise their dividends. So while millions of investors are worrying about their “minimum wage” investment income from CDs, money funds, and Treasury bonds — you could double that immediately and then go on to do three, four, even five times better by investing in companies like Integrys with steadily-rising dividends. Plus, Reinvest Those Dividends And You Can Boost Your Income Even More … If you don’t need the income now, you can continually compound your gains — which multiplies your dividend payments.

Let’s say that you put $10,000 into the dividend reinvestment program of Integrys and the stock price remains constant. Since it’s paying 5.3%, you’ll have $10,530 after one year. Next year, you’ll be earning 5.3% on the $10,530, not just the original $10,000. It might not seem like a big deal at first, but the effects over time can really add up. Five years later, you’ll have $12,946.19 worth of stock, 29% more than you started with. Ten years later, you’ll have $16,760.38 — more than a 67% increase of your initial investment.

And if you started with a $100,000 portfolio, that will have grown to $167,600. Plus dividend checks that come to more than $8,800 a year! So you can see that this compounding effect packs a real wallop. And this isn’t mere theory. Indeed, one reader recently wrote in and told me,

“I never traded stocks; I bought utilities that had a dividend reinvestment plan; did that for 32 years. I retired with $2 Million! My dividend income is $100k+ annually. I started my plan at age 28 and retired at age 60. I have a good wife, a school teacher who also contributed to our plan. Market crashes never bothered us. Compounding dividends every 12 weeks is a working man’s way to financial security.”

I couldn’t give you a better example than that! In fact, that simple paragraph holds the single best piece of investment wisdom you will ever hear. And in this tricky environment, it’s truer than ever!

Best wishes,
Nilus

Post written by: Nilus Mattive

http://www.moneyandmarkets.com/dividend-superstars-crushing-other-income-investments-2-27664

P.S The reason that I interviewed Paul Damazo in my previous post is because he just wrote a book about the 80 ways he has become a millionaire!

Paul has generated a 15% average return for the last FIFTY YEARS with his dividend paying stocks!

Listen to the call replay below!

Steven Barchetti

Oct
13

Deeper Explanation Of Our Credit Crisis!

Posted under Financial News

Another great presentation by Market places Paddy Hirsch:

http://marketplace.publicradio.org/display/web/2008/10/03/cdo/

This type of journalism is the only way the general public can be made aware of the problem so we can hold people, governments and companies accountable for this kind of garbage!

We need to have move safety measures on some of these tools, we do not need to scrap the entire system!

This has been a 20 or 30 year monster that is finally unfolding and that is why you are seeing The G-7 get together and try to solve this problem.

(IE The G7 (also known as the G-7 or Group of Seven) is the meeting of the finance ministers from a group of seven industrialized nations. It was formed in 1976, when Canada joined the Group of Six: France, Germany, Italy, Japan, United Kingdom, and United States of America.)

They see how large the problem is and when nobody trusts anyone, the entire system stops!

The governments realize if they do not restore confidence the Sh-t is going to hit the fan!

The thing about this credit crisis is that it reaches out and touches you, sometimes without you even knowing. For instance, I don’t think many of you ever went out and actually bought yourself a collateralized debt obligation. But chances are your bank did. And your retirement money’s probably tied up in ‘em through mutual funds. Yet here we are a year and a half into this crisis, and it seems people don’t understand what CDOs are. Much less how they work.

Oct
13

Europe Vows $2 Trillion Backing For Banks

Posted under Financial News

European governments have promised nearly $2 trillion of support for the banking system in Europe.

After the British announcement of massive intervention last week, governments using the euro announced similar measures when they met in Paris Sunday night.

In announcing the German portion of the bailout plan on Monday, Chancellor Angela Merkel said it was all about creating “confidence.”

The European plan zeroes in on one aspect of the financial crisis: Banks with extra cash are unwilling to loan it to banks that are short of cash. Under normal circumstances, such interbank lending goes on constantly; it’s a foundation of the credit market. In recent weeks, however, interbank lending has come to a screeching halt.

The banks are suddenly aware of what economists call “counterparty risk,” the risk that the banks to which they might lend money might turn out to be in bad shape and unable to repay.

The European idea is to get around that lack of trust by promising banks that loans they make to other banks will now be guaranteed by the governments.

Article written by:NPR (National Public Radio)

Tom Gjelten

http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=95673999&ft=1&f=1017

Oct
12

Credit Default Swaps (What Are They?)

Posted under Financial News

Marketplace Senior Editor Paddy Hirsch gives a bubbly explanation of the intricacies of “collateralized debt obligations” — those financial instruments that got us into this financial mess.


Untangling credit default swaps from Marketplace on Vimeo.

http://marketplace.publicradio.org/display/web/2008/10/10/wheres_the_money/

When the analysts and experts talk about the current financial crisis, they often refer to “credit default swaps.” So, what exactly is a credit default swap? Watch above video for great explaination.

Oct
12

Global leaders meet to stop financial rout

Posted under Financial News

PARIS: Financial and political leaders held crisis meetings across the globe Sunday, urgently seeking agreement on measures to restore confidence to the teetering financial system before markets open Monday in Asia.

Government leaders from all the major European Union members gathered in Paris to discuss their collective response to the crisis after a similar meeting last week ended with only a patchwork of individual measures.

After Britain and the United States announced late last week that they would move to take ownership shares in ailing banks, the 15 leaders of the euro zone were looking for a collective response that will help avoid tit-for-tat actions by individual countries that might harm their neighbors.

Nicolas Sarkozy, the French president, said after a meeting at the Élysée Palace with the British prime minister, Gordon Brown, that he expected European countries to present an “ambitious and coordinated plan” that goes beyond measures announced by the Group of 7 in Washington on Friday.

The authorities in Australia and New Zealand on Sunday announced a blanket guarantee of bank deposits. Australia’s prime minister, Kevin Rudd, called the financial meltdown “the economic equivalent of a national security crisis” because of the danger that funds would flee Sydney banks for countries where governments had guaranteed deposits.

“I don’t want a first-class Australian bank discriminated against because some other foreign bank, which has a bad balance sheet, is being propped up by a guarantee by a foreign government,” Reuters quoted Rudd as saying.

In Washington, President George W. Bush held a Saturday morning meeting at the White House with G-7 finance ministers, who were in the city for the annual meetings of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank.

“All of us recognize that this is a serious global crisis, and therefore requires a serious global response, for the good of our people,” Bush said afterward in the Rose Garden.

Bush said the countries had agreed to general principles to respond to the crisis, including working to prevent the collapse of important financial institutions and protecting the deposits of savers.

But the G-7 communiqué issued on Friday did not clearly detail what measures would be taken, suggesting that countries remained unable to agree on a common approach to shoring up their respective financial systems.

The Group of 20, which includes the world’s 20 richest nations, issued a statement in support of that communiqué late Saturday after Bush, Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson Jr. and the Federal Reserve chairman, Ben Bernanke, met with leaders of the group.

Credit markets have seized up in the last few weeks, making it difficult for most companies to borrow money on more than an overnight basis. Bank stocks have plummeted, meanwhile, making it much more difficult to shore up their balance sheets by raising more capital from investors.

German officials were working Sunday on the details of a plan to support banks and insurers – including direct capital injections. The government expects to publish some details later in the day, a German official said.

The turbulence of the past week moved Germany from advocating action on a case-by-case basis to support for a systemic solution for the country’s banks. So far Germany has rescued several banks and guaranteed deposits.

The shift in Berlin does not extend to contributing to a common fund that would support all European banks, largely because the government fears that German taxpayers would end up financing other countries’ banks. But Chancellor Angela Merkel said in an interview published on Sunday that Germany intended to put its sovereign guarantee behind the banking system.

“Only an act of the state can bring back the needed trust,” Merkel was quoted as saying by Bild am Sonntag.

Current plans are to have the package approved by the cabinet on Monday and rushed through the German Parliament this week.

With the U.S. bond market and all Japanese markets closed on Monday for holidays, British policy makers appeared to be speeding plans to inject capital into their troubled banks. At the top of the list is Royal Bank of Scotland, whose market value has fallen to below £12 billion pounds, or about $20 billion – less than the amount of capital it raised from private investors in June.

Royal Bank of Scotland is expected to need about that amount from the government, giving the Exchequer a majority stake. As much as £35 billion of the £50 billion that the government set aside for sick banks could be disbursed.

Other British banks that are likely to receive tax payer funds include HBOS, Lloyds TSB and Barclays. That these banks, which for weeks have been saying they did not need new funds from taxpayers, will now welcome the British government as one of their largest shareholders reflects of how deep the confidence crisis has become in Britain.

Late last week, Barclays had signaled that it might go to capital markets for the £3 billion it needs to bolster its tier-one ratio, a measure of financial strength. Such an initiative would take as much as 10 days, an eternity in today’s fear-stoked climate. And now Barclays, along with its peers, is preparing to take the direct, if not more humiliating, path by accepting public funds.

There was even talk of halting trading on world exchanges until the new measures are promulgated and digested by market participants.

Hans-Jörg Rudloff, the chairman of Barclays Capital, said closing world financial markets for two or three days might provide time needed to work out solutions to the global banking crisis, Bloomberg News reported, citing an interview with the Swiss newspaper Sonntag. In the interview, Rudloff called the crisis “probably worse” than the stock market crash of 1929. The Italian prime minister, Silvio Berlusconi, mused publicly about a market shutdown on Friday in Washington, but he later retracted his statement.

Faced with the growing intensity of the crisis, the Bush administration has embarked on an overhaul of its own strategy. Two weeks after persuading Congress to let it spend $700 billion to buy distressed securities tied to mortgages, the administration has put that idea aside in favor of an new approach that would have the government inject capital directly into banks in the United States – in effect, partly nationalizing the industry.

The U.S. Treasury Department’s surprising turnaround on the issue of buying stock in banks, which has now become its primary focus, has raised questions about whether the Bush administration squandered valuable time in trying to sell Congress on a plan that officials had failed to think through in advance. As recently as Sept. 23, senior officials had publicly derided proposals by Democrats to have the government take ownership stakes in banks.

It has also raised questions about whether the administration’s deep philosophical aversion to government ownership in private companies hindered its ability to look at all options for stabilizing the markets.

Some experts also contend that the Treasury’s decision last month not to use taxpayer money to save Lehman Brothers worsened a panic that metastasized into an international crisis.

The administration’s new focus was announced Friday as part of a rescue plan in coordination with six of the world’s richest nations. It came in a week when the Dow Jones industrial average plummeted 18 percent, one of the worst weeks in U.S. stock market history.

While the Treasury says it still plans to buy distressed assets, the scope of that plan is unclear. Paulson has refused to say whether the capital infusion program for banks would be bigger than the original plan to buy troubled assets.

The Treasury has urged Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the government-sponsored mortgage financing companies, to step up their purchases of hard-to-sell mortgage bonds in what could be a speedier and less formal process than the auctions proposed by the Treasury.

To some extent, the effort to agree on a coordinated plan is being driven less by the hope that such measures will carry more punch than by the fear that countries acting alone could destabilize the system.

Those worries grew in recent days when Iceland seized its three major banks, which were failing, and appeared to guarantee the deposits of Icelanders over those of foreigners. That provoked a fierce reaction from Britain, which is now in talks with Iceland to get back the deposits of British citizens.

With the United States and Europe working together on ways to secure their banking systems, economists are concerned that money may flow out of other countries, particularly emerging markets, if investors decide that those markets are not as safe.

The United States sought to reassure these countries in a meeting Saturday evening of the Group of 20, which includes countries with large emerging markets like China and Russia.

“We want to reaffirm, reinforce our commitment that we’re going to take these actions in a way that doesn’t undermine the economies of other countries,” said David McCormick, the U.S. Treasury’s under secretary for international affairs.

As recently as late September, the idea of letting the government buy part of the banking system was unthinkable in the Bush administration. To many officials, such intervention seemed like a European-style government intrusion in the markets.

“Some said we should just stick capital in the banks, take preferred stock in the banks,” Paulson told the U.S. Senate Banking Committee on Sept. 23. “That’s what you do when you have failure. This is about success.”

But on Friday, Paulson not only confirmed his intention to buy stakes in banks but also gave the idea central billing. “We can use the taxpayers’ money more effectively and efficiently, get more for the taxpayers’ dollar, if we develop a standardized program to buy equity in financial institutions,” he said.

Treasury officials said they hoped to make the first capital investments within the next two weeks. That would be earlier than any government purchases of unwanted mortgage-backed securities. One reason for Paulson’s rapid reconsideration was that global financial markets had been going downhill faster than anyone had seen before.

Katrin Bennhold contributed reporting from Paris, Landon Thomas Jr. from London, Carter Dougherty from Frankfurt, and Edmund L. Andrews and Mark Landler from Washington.

Article written by:

International Herald Tribune

http://www.iht.com/articles/2008/10/12/business/imf.php

Oct
08

US Fed and Major World Central Banks Coordinate Rate Cut

Posted under Financial News

Major world central banks react to a broadening global economic crisis by taking extraordinary measures to coordinate monetary policy. In a move to reduce growing stress in the world credit markets central banks cut interest rates by a 0.5 percent.

This coordinated effort by the US Federal Reserve, Bank of England, European Central Bank, Canada, Switzerland, Sweden, and even the People’s Bank of China reflects the growing realization that globalization has deeply linked our independent economies.

Actions and reactions are increasingly directly and immediately impacting our respective markets. This realization has been no clearer than watching the market trading patterns following the clock from Asia, European, and into North America over the last few weeks. Watching these international trading exchanges, the closing marks are an eerie forecast of the impending fate of each new market opening.

The Federal Reserve, in a unanimous decision, lowered the Fed funds rate from 2.0 percent to 1.5 percent. Likewise, a similar reduction was made in the discount rate.

In a statement released with the rate decision the Fed said they reacted to increasingly weakening economic condition and were no longer immediately concerned with inflationary pressure. The weight of this decision was reflected in statements earlier in the week where Dallas Fed President Richard Fisher, a notorious inflationary hawk, said “market dysfunction trumps inflation.” Dallas Fed President Fisher has been a frequent dissenter in past Fed decisions to leave rates at current levels, advocating Fed rate increases.

In this same Federal Reserve statement, the Fed stated that it has been and will continue to be in close consultation with major world central banks to monitor ongoing economic conditions.

Early indications are that the markets are reacting positively and with increased confidence over the move as broad European market indexes bounced up at the news.

Article written by:

Bill Rice

http://www.mortgageloan.com/us-fed-and-major-world-central-banks-coordinate-rate-cut-2496